Estimation of Average Speeds

So, in further speculation of a car racing a bicycle, I have graphed out what I know so far.

Assuming the car is going 20 mph, and the bike is going 15 mph, the car will win every time. Obviously, we don’t need any math to figure out that 20 mph > 15mph, but that’s not the question I’m interested in. The real question is “who gets there first?”, so I estimated about 5 extra minutes for parking, walking to the car, and walking from the parked car.

For out race, we’re doing a common city trip, which is typically less than 4 miles.

Cyclorace1

They y-axis is time, so the faster vehicle is the lower line (bike, in this case). It is obvious that the lines will cross eventually, maybe around 5 miles, but for the majority of city drives, the bicycle is actually faster.

Before anyone gets upset: yes I know that cars can go faster than 20 mph, but this is average speed. So, when you kick it up and drive 60 mph down Broadway, for 10 seconds, and screech to a halt in front of a red light, and wait for 30 seconds, your average speed is 17 mph. Meanwhile, the bicycle is a more steady pace, and doesn’t need to stop as often or for as long. Some might say that I am underestimating the car, but I’d say that I am actually overestimating the car’s speed in a city.

I might be overestimating the bicycle as well. I have overall averages of my cycling down this route, but I wasn’t timing myself with a real test in mind. Then again, I wasn’t racing anyone either.

Personally, I’d like to test this. Maybe someone with resources or social clout could help me out (Shane? Interested? Eh?).

Both the driver and the cyclist would have to start form home, so we can add in the extra time for the driver. The driver would have to walk to his car, drive, then park, then walk from the parking spot. I think that this would provide more external validity, so that we could generalize to the larger population of drivers.

Anyone want to race a car? Anyone was to drive against a cyclist?

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